I don’t go for stats

by | Nov 12, 2018 | Latest News

 

I’ve mentioned in previous posts that an analysis of the detailed statistics from a game can provide a deeper understanding of team performance than just the final result. This point of view is increasingly shared and understood in the football world, but there are some areas of resistance. Here‘s Mourinho after yesterday’s 3-1 defeat of Man United against Man City:

The way people who don’t understand football analyse it with stats. I don’t go for stats. I go for what I felt in the game and it was there until minute 80-something. I consider the performance of my team one with mistakes. It is different from a bad performance.

And here are the stats that he doesn’t go for:

Of course, there’s a fair point to be made: statistics don’t tell the whole story, and it’s always important, wherever possible, to balance the information that they provide with the kind of information you get from an expert watching a game. Equally though, it has to be a missed opportunity not to take any account of the information that is contained in statistics. Or maybe Mourinho is such a total expert that statistics are completely irrelevant compared to his ‘feel for the game’.

Except, oh, wait a minute: ‘Jose Mourinho brings statistics to press conference to silence Marcus Rashford claims‘. Hmmm.

Stuart Coles

Stuart Coles

Author

I joined Smartodds in 2004, having previously been a lecturer of Statistics in universities in the UK and Italy. A famous quote about statistics is that “Statistics is the art of lying by means of figures”. In writing this blog I’m hoping to provide evidence that this is wrong.