This is a quick follow-up to yesterday's post, 'Reasons to be cheerful'. I suggested there that looking at the same data in different ways...
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Reasons to be cheerful…
Ok, not cheerful exactly, but optimistic. Often, looking at the same data in a different way can give a completely different perspective on...
Response
The World Health Organisation officially declared the current Coronavirus outbreak a pandemic on 12 March. A pandemic is technically defined as:...
#iorestoacasa
"Io resto a casa" translates as "I'm staying home" and is the latest message of solidarity against Coronavirus here in Italy. As you'll know,...
Epidemic calculator
The picture above is a screenshot from a brilliant online epidemic calculator. It's based on a standard infectious disease model, SEIR...
Life comes at you fast
A few posts back I tried to explain the concept of herd immunity, since that seemed to be a cornerstone of the UK policy to handle the...
The Rules of Contagion
With uncanny timing, Adam Kucharski, who is a professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, has just published a book titled 'The...
Numbers and pictures
Statistics is playing a fundamental role in supporting decision-makers by providing predictions of the Coronavirus epidemic spread and of the likely...
Test, test, test…
The testing of individuals for COVID-19 has become an urgent and sensitive issue. Some of the main questions are: Who should get tested and...
Lockdown
One of the difficulties in determining how to respond to the Coronavirus epidemic is a lack of evidence with which to base decisions. But since some...
Andrà tutto bene
There's been a lot of discussion this weekend about the approach proposed by the UK government for handling the Coronavirus epidemic and how...
The Dunning-Kruger effect
Thanks to those of you who wrote to say you found the previous post on the Coronavirus useful. A small caveat though: I really am no expert...